This feature is limited to our corporate solutions. Please contact us to get started with full access to dossiers, forecasts, studies and international data. Skip to main content Try our corporate solution for free! Single Accounts Corporate Solutions Universities. In the U. Since , statistics show that voter participation directly correlates with age, with those in higher age brackets more likely to vote in midterm elections; a similar correlation has appeared in presidential elections since , although turnout in these elections is significantly higher.
From until , voter participation gradually decreased although sometimes fluctuated among voters under 65 years of age; while it generally increased and plateaued around sixty percent among those older than The midterms saw large increases in voter participation across all age groups, with the largest increases coming from younger voters; in spite of this, eligible voters over the age of 65 were still more than twice as likely to vote as those under Loading statistic Show source.
Download for free You need to log in to download this statistic Register for free Already a member? Log in. Show detailed source information? Register for free Already a member? More information. Voter turnout regularly drops in midterm elections, and has done so since the s. In , for instance, But two years later only Who turns out to vote and why is of much more than academic interest.
Turnout calculations can vary somewhat depending on which population estimate is used as a base and which vote measure is compared against it. For our chart, we used Census estimates of the voting-age population each year since and vote totals as compiled by the Clerk of the House.
Some researchers, though, argue that focusing on the voting-age population, rather than the people actually eligible to vote, distorts the picture. For instance, Michael McDonald, a University of Florida political scientist, estimates that in roughly Another 3.
Usually, Republicans vote at higher rates than Democrats, and this is evident in higher scores for Republicans than for Democrats on the voter engagement questions, including this year. In fact, the Republican advantages on each of the three turnout measures at this point approach what Gallup measured in the strong GOP year of rather than in other midterm election years. As a result, even if overall turnout is depressed compared with prior years, Republicans appear poised to turn out in greater numbers than Democrats.
It is possible that each of these turnout items is not a pure measure of intention to vote, but also picks up partisans' sense of how their preferred party will perform in the elections. In other words, Democrats may be less likely to report thinking about the elections, being motivated to vote, or being enthusiastic about voting if they expect their party to perform poorly in the elections, even if they fully intend to vote.
Most political indicators point to being a stronger Republican year , and political experts expect the Republicans to increase their majority in the House and pick up seats in the Senate, possibly enough to win control of the upper chamber.
The prospect of Republican control of both houses of Congress may make rank-and-file Republicans feel more motivated to vote, particularly in states that have important Senate elections in which their vote should matter more in determining the balance of power.
As a result, these turnout indicators may exaggerate the likely Republican turnout advantage on Election Day. However, even if that is the case, these data certainly do not suggest that Democratic turnout will be able to match or exceed Republican turnout. Although the current political environment in many respects is more similar to the anger and frustration that led to higher voter turnout in and than to the generally content electorates that voted at lower rates in and , Gallup's key indicators point to voter turnout that more closely approaches the latter elections than the former.
The key to explaining that may lie in the current divided party control of Congress, with voters having no clear way to act on their frustrations with the state of the nation and the government.
With little hope of being a "change" election -- even if Republicans win the Senate, the GOP-controlled Congress will have to contend with a Democratic president -- more Americans appear to be willing to sit out this fall's elections than was the case in the previous two midterm election years. Results for this Gallup poll are based on telephone interviews conducted Sept. Interviews are conducted with respondents on landline telephones and cellular phones, with interviews conducted in Spanish for respondents who are primarily Spanish-speaking.
And digging back farther into the historical records, it surpasses the levels of the and presidential years.
Overall, more than million votes were cast across the US in races for the House of Representatives in which all seats were up for election.
Some states, such as California, are still processing mail-in ballots, but at last count Democrats won With seven races still to be decided, Democrats have posted a net gain of 35 seats, giving them control of the chamber for the first time since Thirty-three states also had Senate races, in which a total of at least 84 million votes were cast a partisan breakdown of the balloting here is misleading because California, the largest state, had two Democrats advancing to the general election.
And if there was any doubt that this election was a referendum on the Trump presidency, a just-released Pew Research Center poll should put them to bed.
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